To use some tennis lingo, we are at match point again in the Democratic Primary process, at least according to the all-knowing prognosticators out there.
The popular thought is that Senator Clinton must snatch the primary from next-door-neighbor-favorite-son Barack Obama to continue in the race, and at the same time, close to about 5-6 points in North Carolina where she was down 20 at one time. The predictors seem to be babbling that the pressure is on her because she needs to record big wins to catch up in the numbers, therefore, her back is against the wall.
If that's so, it seems to me that she has the company of one Senator Barack Obama who can’t say he’s gotten his momentum back with that big weekend victory in the Guam Caucuses where about 4,000 people voted. Uh-Uh. No, Barack Obama has won every border state to Illinois so far and much of Indiana is located in the Chicago Media Market. If he can’t win there, even though there are Hillary enclaves located in the northern part of state, further doubt about will explode around the country as to whether he is their guy.
The elected numbers don’t matter anymore for Hillary because she won’t overtake Obama. What does matter is the tally of reasons called primary victories no matter how small that give super-delegates reason to pause on their choice or change before or at the Convention in August. In addition, it also makes dealing with the Florida and Michigan rules mess more palpable if she comes steamrolling into the convention close enough where it becomes a real question.
Either way you look at it, both need Indiana today to either keep the door open to victory for Clinton or slam it in her face if you are Obama. We’ll see at the end of this day who comes knocking. I’m Gary Sutton.
Tuesday, May 6, 2008
Lots of possibilities in today's primaries?
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3 comments:
Oh the chess game that is the dem primary season is so delicious. After almost gaining the nomination with a message of unity, Mr. Barry Obama runs right into the wall of stubbornmess from Ms. Hillary Clinton who is far more interested in seeing her ideas advanced than unifying around his.
This is, of course, the nature of both politics and life - we unify and cooperate with others when we can, but we fight for our ideals when we must - if we have the courage to do so.
This must really make those who decried the great political divide in our country ill. Those whose number-one goal was to see an end to partisanship so that "something would get done in DC" must feel their heads spinning like Linda Blair.
For you see, their jejune notion was based on the idea that the answer to bickering between Republicans and dems was to have the Republicans abandon their core beliefs and give the dems 50% of what they wanted.
But now we have two dems who are bickering. Funny, I don't hear a lot of "see both sides" radio hosts saying "A pox on both of them" the way he did about the parties. I don't hear any host saying one is just as bad as the other and I don't hear any sophomoric demand that they just stop the bickering and compromise with each other so that they are both winners.
And even if some radio host was foolish enough to demand that these two dem candidates just hold hands and get along, it wouldn't matter.
Because politics, like chess, is warfare where one side almost always triumphs over the other. Wishing away the conflict won't work to end it, but working for the right side might.
God, is Sharapova HOT or what??
She's stunning!
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